Univ. Concepción vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
24.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
COL
2 - 0
UCO
70%
17%
13%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 4
COL
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 0
ACS
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 2
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
ACS
1 - 2
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 1
COQ
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
COL
5 - 0
UNI
65%
19%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 4
COL
37%
24%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
ANT
3 - 0
UNI
29%
26%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
UNI
3 - 1
PUE
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |