Univ. Concepción vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
EVE
1 - 3
UCO
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 1
NTA
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ANT
0 - 0
UCO
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 1
CDM
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
OHI
2 - 0
UCO
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
ULC
0 - 0
CDM
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
OHI
1 - 1
ULC
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
PUE
4 - 1
ULC
48%
24%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
ULC
2 - 1
ANT
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ULC
1 - 0
EVE
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |