Univ. Concepción vs Santiago Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
UCO
0 - 1
UCO
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
DEP
1 - 2
UCO
43%
25%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
COB
2 - 0
UCO
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 3
DLS
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
USF
2 - 1
UCO
34%
26%
39%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Santiago Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
COB
3 - 0
SWA
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
SWA
1 - 1
CSD
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
SWA
3 - 1
PUE
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
EVE
0 - 1
SWA
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
SWA
0 - 1
UCH
32%
26%
43%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |