Univ. Concepción vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
MAG
1 - 0
UCO
50%
26%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 0
DER
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 2
COB
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 2
UCO
58%
24%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
DCO
2 - 0
UCO
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
PUE
0 - 0
IQU
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 1
PUE
57%
25%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 0
PUE
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
DCO
2 - 2
PUE
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
PUE
0 - 1
DCO
35%
28%
38%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |