Univ. Concepción vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
USF
1 - 0
UCO
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 1
COQ
33%
28%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
CSD
1 - 0
UCO
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 0
COB
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 1
DSC
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 0
BAR
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
MAG
3 - 0
PUE
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
PUE
2 - 2
DSC
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
PUE
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PUE
0 - 1
USF
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |