Univ. Concepción vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
7.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
PUE
1 - 0
UCO
12%
20%
68%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 3
UCO
33%
28%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCO
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
UCO
3 - 2
ANT
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 2
UCO
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
PUE
1 - 0
UCO
12%
20%
68%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
CDM
1 - 1
PUE
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
PUE
1 - 3
USF
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
PUE
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PUE
2 - 1
SWA
21%
26%
53%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |