Univ. Concepción vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
OHI
0 - 2
UCO
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 3
CSD
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 2
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
UCH
2 - 1
UCO
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
UCH
2 - 1
PUE
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
PUE
3 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
PUE
0 - 1
COQ
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CSL
3 - 2
PUE
70%
18%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
PUE
4 - 1
CSD
38%
26%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |