Univ. Concepción vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
48.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
CDM
1 - 0
UCO
41%
28%
32%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
UCO
3 - 0
LOT
38%
26%
37%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +3 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
UCO
6 - 2
CDP
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
NTA
1 - 1
UCO
61%
23%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 0
OHI
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
PUE
1 - 3
CDP
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
NTA
1 - 1
PUE
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
OHI
0 - 1
PUE
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
1 - 2
PUE
31%
25%
45%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
LOT
2 - 1
PUE
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |