Univ. Concepción vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 1
UCO
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
COL
0 - 1
UCO
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
UCO
3 - 1
CSD
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 3
CSL
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
CSL
0 - 0
UCO
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 1
UCO
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 1
CSD
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
COL
0 - 1
PAL
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 1
CSL
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
CSL
2 - 0
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |