Univ. Concepción vs O'Higgins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 0
HUA
38%
27%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
IQU
0 - 4
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
UCO
0 - 1
CUR
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCO
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 1
ACS
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
OHI
1 - 2
ACS
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
OHI
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
OHI
2 - 1
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
UCH
2 - 2
OHI
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
SWA
2 - 0
OHI
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |