Univ. Concepción vs O'Higgins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
COL
1 - 2
UCO
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
CSL
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ANT
2 - 1
UCO
17%
23%
60%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
ACS
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ULC
1 - 1
UCO
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
OHI
3 - 0
UCH
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
DLS
2 - 2
OHI
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
OHI
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
OHI
57%
22%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
OHI
1 - 0
ANT
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |