Univ. Concepción vs O'Higgins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
COL
4 - 2
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
CSL
4 - 1
UCO
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
UCO
4 - 1
DLS
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 2
SWA
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
ANT
3 - 2
UCO
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
OHI
2 - 0
UCH
33%
27%
39%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PAL
0 - 0
OHI
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
OHI
1 - 0
SWA
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
PUE
1 - 1
OHI
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
OHI
3 - 0
COQ
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |