Univ. Concepción vs CDS Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
CDM
0 - 0
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
UCO
2 - 1
IQU
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
CSL
0 - 0
UCO
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
USF
2 - 1
UCO
59%
23%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2000 |
UCO
2 - 1
DEP
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
NTA
2 - 0
USF
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
DEP
0 - 1
NTA
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
NTA
2 - 1
DLI
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
DLS
1 - 2
NTA
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
NTA
0 - 0
CSD
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |