Univ. Concepción vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
4.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 0
UCO
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 1
IQU
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
4 - 3
IBE
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
NUB
2 - 1
UCO
19%
20%
61%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 2
PUE
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
LOT
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
LOT
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 2
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
NUB
2 - 0
LOT
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
HUA
3 - 0
LOT
87%
10%
3%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | -1 |