Univ. Concepción vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
PAL
0 - 1
UCO
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 0
PUE
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
COL
2 - 2
UCO
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 1
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
COQ
0 - 1
UCO
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
LOT
1 - 1
OHI
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
CDM
0 - 0
LOT
61%
22%
18%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
LOT
0 - 1
UCO
25%
27%
49%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
NUB
3 - 2
LOT
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
LOT
1 - 2
ACS
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |