Univ. Concepción vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 2
UCO
24%
25%
52%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 2
PUE
74%
18%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
IBE
1 - 2
UCO
20%
24%
57%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 2
UCO
17%
23%
60%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
NUB
0 - 1
HUA
39%
25%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
HUA
2 - 0
NUB
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
HUA
12%
19%
68%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
HUA
1 - 0
COL
46%
24%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
IQU
1 - 2
HUA
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |