Univ. Concepción vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
38.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
UCO
7%
15%
78%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
3 - 1
DLS
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
COB
3 - 1
UCO
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
IBE
0 - 1
UCO
11%
17%
72%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
OHI
4 - 1
UCO
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
CON
0 - 5
HUA
13%
19%
69%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ANT
3 - 0
HUA
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 0
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
HUA
1 - 0
USF
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
NUB
0 - 2
HUA
16%
20%
64%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |