Univ. Concepción vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
USF
2 - 2
UCO
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 0
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
IQU
2 - 0
UCO
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 5
SWA
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DLS
1 - 0
UCO
48%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 1
OHI
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CSL
0 - 2
HUA
39%
24%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
HUA
0 - 3
COL
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CSD
2 - 1
HUA
15%
22%
64%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 0
ANT
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |