Univ. Concepción vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
DEP
0 - 1
UCO
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 3
PUE
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
SWA
5 - 2
UCO
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
UCO
0 - 0
ANT
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
CDM
4 - 3
UCO
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
HUA
4 - 2
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
UCO
3 - 2
HUA
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
HUA
1 - 2
UNI
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
CSD
3 - 0
HUA
20%
24%
56%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
HUA
3 - 0
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |