Univ. Concepción vs Recoleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 2
COB
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 2
UCO
58%
24%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
DCO
2 - 0
UCO
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 0
FVC
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
UCO
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
DER
0 - 0
FVC
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CHG
2 - 2
DER
19%
23%
58%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
DER
2 - 0
LIM
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
SAU
1 - 2
DER
30%
26%
45%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
IBE
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |