Univ. Concepción vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
UCO
1 - 2
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
COB
0 - 2
UCO
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
UCO
2 - 1
MAG
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SWA
0 - 0
UCO
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
DSC
0 - 3
UCO
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
CUR
1 - 1
MAG
23%
27%
50%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 0
CUR
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
CUR
1 - 1
DCO
34%
26%
39%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 2
CUR
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CUR
0 - 1
UCO
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |