Univ. Concepción vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
UCO
32%
25%
44%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CSL
3 - 0
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 0
IQU
65%
21%
13%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 0
COB
49%
24%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
DLS
0 - 1
UCO
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
COB
0 - 0
CUR
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
UCO
7 - 0
CUR
65%
22%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CUR
2 - 1
CSL
38%
29%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CSD
0 - 0
CUR
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ACS
1 - 1
CUR
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |