Univ. Concepción vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
ANT
3 - 2
UCO
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 1
COB
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
DLS
1 - 0
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 3
HUA
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ACS
0 - 0
UCO
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
CON
2 - 1
COQ
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
NUB
2 - 3
CON
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
CON
1 - 1
EVE
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
PAL
2 - 0
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
CON
3 - 2
LOT
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |