Univ. Concepción vs Cobresal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 3
NAC
55%
23%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 0
PAL
52%
24%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
UCO
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 2
IBE
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 1
CSL
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CSL
2 - 3
COL
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
CSL
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
DLS
2 - 0
CSL
11%
17%
73%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
COQ
2 - 1
CSL
18%
21%
61%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |