Univ. Concepción vs Cobresal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
COB
2 - 0
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
IQU
1 - 1
UCO
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 0
DLS
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
PAL
4 - 2
UCO
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 2
CSD
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
PAL
2 - 0
CSL
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CSL
1 - 0
CUR
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 3
CSL
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CSL
0 - 0
HUA
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
NUB
1 - 1
CSL
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |