Univ. Concepción vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
DLS
1 - 2
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
UCO
4 - 3
DLS
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 2
UCO
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
UCO
5 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
SWA
0 - 0
UCO
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
COQ
2 - 1
CDM
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 0
COQ
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
IQU
3 - 0
CDM
36%
27%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 0
DSC
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
CDM
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |