Univ. Concepción vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCO
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 1
USF
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
PUE
0 - 0
UCO
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SWA
0 - 1
UCO
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 1
SWA
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 1
RPO
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
STR
0 - 1
BOL
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 0
SAN
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 1
IBE
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
LAP
1 - 1
BOL
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |