Univ. Concepción vs Audax Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 2
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
PAL
3 - 1
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
UCO
4 - 1
CDP
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
HUA
1 - 1
UCO
57%
22%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 2
COL
35%
26%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
COL
1 - 1
ACS
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
ACS
2 - 1
EVE
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
ACS
0 - 3
HUA
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
CSL
1 - 2
ACS
45%
24%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
ACS
2 - 2
CDM
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |