Univ. Concepción vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
ACS
2 - 2
UCO
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 0
ULC
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCO
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CSD
1 - 2
UCO
19%
24%
58%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCH
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
IQU
2 - 1
ANT
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ANT
0 - 1
CSD
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
ANT
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ANT
1 - 1
UNI
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DLS
4 - 1
ANT
75%
17%
9%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |