Univ. Concepción vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2000 |
UCO
2 - 2
DEP
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 0
NTA
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
1 - 0
UCO
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
DEP
1 - 0
UCO
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
NTA
2 - 0
UCO
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -3 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2000 |
ANT
0 - 1
IQU
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
SAN
2 - 1
ANT
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ANT
3 - 1
CSL
45%
25%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
IQU
1 - 1
ANT
48%
25%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
ANT
5 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |