U. Católica vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
UCO
3 - 0
UCH
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 0
UCO
65%
20%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
EVE
2 - 2
UCO
17%
24%
59%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
AME
1 - 1
UCO
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
UCO
2 - 0
GRE
35%
28%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 1
UCO
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
UCO
1 - 4
OHI
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
DLS
0 - 1
UCO
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
UCO
2 - 1
ULC
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
UCO
2 - 3
UNI
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |