U. Católica vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
CCP
0 - 1
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 1
UCO
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 1
CCP
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
3 - 0
NUB
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
4 - 0
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | -3 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
COB
2 - 0
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
NTA
1 - 1
UCO
10%
17%
72%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
0 - 0
LOT
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
3 - 0
NTA
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |