U. Católica vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
COB
3 - 1
UCO
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 2
ACS
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
HUA
0 - 0
UCO
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
ANT
0 - 0
UCO
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 0
CSL
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 1
CDM
56%
23%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 2
OHI
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
UNI
0 - 2
UCO
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
SWA
0 - 3
UCO
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 2
NUB
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |