U. Católica vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
UCO
0 - 1
OHI
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
UCH
3 - 1
UCO
52%
24%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 2
UCH
55%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
HUA
1 - 2
UCO
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 0
CSL
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
COB
1 - 0
UCO
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
UCO
4 - 2
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
COL
2 - 0
UCO
70%
17%
13%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 4
COL
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 0
ACS
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |