U. Católica vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
COB
2 - 1
UCO
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
UCO
3 - 2
ACS
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
PUE
0 - 2
UCO
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
UCO
2 - 4
SWA
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
COB
3 - 0
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 1
SWA
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 3
CRZ
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
DEP
0 - 5
UCO
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 2
UCO
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
COB
2 - 0
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |