U. Católica vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
13.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
UCO
35%
26%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NUB
2 - 0
UCO
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
IQU
0 - 0
UCO
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
PAL
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
IQU
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
USF
1 - 2
NUB
54%
24%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
HUA
2 - 2
USF
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
USF
0 - 3
UCH
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 0
USF
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
USF
2 - 2
ACS
33%
25%
43%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |