U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
NUB
1 - 2
UCO
35%
26%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 1
IQU
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
IQU
2 - 2
UCO
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ULC
0 - 2
UCO
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 0
COL
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
ANT
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
UNI
4 - 1
CSL
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
OHI
1 - 0
UNI
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
UCO
0 - 1
UNI
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
ULC
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |