Apertura Finals Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 0
UCO
58%
21%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCO
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCH
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
UCO
5 - 0
CSL
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 2
UCO
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 0
UCO
58%
21%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
COB
1 - 2
UNI
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 2
IQU
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 3
BOC
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ANT
1 - 1
UNI
20%
25%
55%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |