U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 2
TIG
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 1
PUE
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
EVE
1 - 0
UCO
37%
28%
36%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
UCH
0 - 1
UCO
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
UCH
1 - 0
UNI
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ACS
4 - 5
UNI
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
UNI
0 - 0
UCO
42%
26%
31%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
CON
1 - 1
UNI
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
UNI
2 - 1
CSD
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |