U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CSD
2 - 1
UCO
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 2
COL
50%
24%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
COQ
3 - 2
UCO
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
UCO
5 - 1
HUA
50%
23%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
UCO
0 - 1
SWA
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 1
SWA
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
DEP
2 - 2
UNI
20%
22%
58%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
COB
2 - 2
UNI
44%
25%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 2
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 0
ACS
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |