U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
USF
1 - 0
UCO
21%
24%
55%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
UCO
0 - 1
COB
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
PAL
3 - 2
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
UCO
0 - 1
UCH
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
CSD
0 - 0
UCO
17%
23%
60%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
UNI
0 - 3
SWA
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
ACS
3 - 2
UNI
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
UNI
3 - 3
COL
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
SAN
3 - 5
UNI
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
UNI
2 - 1
CON
71%
19%
11%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |