U. Católica vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1999 |
COL
1 - 0
UCO
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1998 |
UCO
2 - 1
OLI
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1998 |
UCO
1 - 0
CCP
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
UCO
0 - 2
COL
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1998 |
OLI
2 - 0
UCO
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1999 |
UNI
2 - 1
SPC
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
SPC
1 - 1
COL
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1998 |
RIV
3 - 1
SPC
80%
13%
7%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1998 |
SPC
3 - 2
ALI
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1998 |
SPC
2 - 3
RIV
26%
23%
51%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |