U. Católica vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
UCO
3 - 0
DLS
74%
18%
9%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
AME
0 - 0
UCO
27%
24%
50%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -5 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
UCO
2 - 1
SCI
36%
27%
38%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCO
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
UCO
3 - 0
UCH
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
AME
1 - 1
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
AME
0 - 0
UCO
27%
24%
50%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 2
AME
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
AME
1 - 0
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 2
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |