U. Católica vs Santiago Morning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.6%
4.1%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 3
UCO
23%
25%
52%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
HUA
0 - 1
UCO
24%
25%
52%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 2
UCO
9%
16%
75%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
UCO
2 - 1
DLS
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 0
UNI
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
PUE
29%
28%
44%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
DLS
2 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 2
UCO
9%
16%
75%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAL
14%
19%
68%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
PAL
4 - 3
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |