U. Católica vs O'Higgins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
COL
0 - 1
UCO
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
SAM
0 - 1
UCO
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CON
2 - 1
UCO
30%
28%
43%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
AME
2 - 1
UCO
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
CDP
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
OHI
0 - 0
ANT
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 3
OHI
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
OHI
1 - 0
CON
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
CSL
0 - 0
OHI
59%
22%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
COB
1 - 2
OHI
65%
20%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |