U. Católica vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 2
UCO
39%
24%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SWA
2 - 2
UCO
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 0
DAN
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
5 - 1
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 0
CCP
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 1
SWA
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
AME
2 - 2
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
SWA
0 - 0
LIB
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |