U. Católica vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1968 |
UCH
1 - 2
UCO
61%
19%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1968 |
UCO
1 - 1
EME
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
UCO
2 - 0
NAC
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1968 |
UCO
3 - 2
UCH
63%
18%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
EME
1 - 2
UCO
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
GUA
1 - 1
PEÑ
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1968 |
GUA
2 - 1
NAC
45%
23%
32%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1968 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
60%
21%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1968 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
GUA
72%
16%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1968 |
NAC
2 - 2
GUA
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |