U. Católica vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
UCO
0 - 1
UCH
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
ALI
2 - 0
UCO
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
COB
0 - 2
UCO
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 0
PUE
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2005 |
UCO
5 - 0
ALI
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
CON
3 - 1
UCH
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
PAL
0 - 2
CON
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
CON
2 - 1
DLS
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
ACS
6 - 0
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2005 |
SWA
1 - 1
CON
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |