U. Católica vs Cobresal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 3
UCO
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
OHI
1 - 1
UCO
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 2
PAL
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
SWA
2 - 0
UCO
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 1
NUB
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CSL
1 - 0
SWA
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
COB
1 - 3
CSL
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
CSL
31%
26%
44%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
CSL
3 - 1
ACS
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
HUA
2 - 1
CSL
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |