U. Católica vs Cobresal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1986 |
CAL
3 - 1
UCO
60%
21%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1986 |
AME
2 - 1
UCO
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
CSL
1 - 1
UCO
46%
23%
32%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1984 |
NAC
2 - 0
UCO
97%
2%
1%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1984 |
IND
2 - 1
UCO
92%
5%
3%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
CSL
1 - 1
UCO
46%
23%
32%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1986 |
CAL
1 - 1
CSL
74%
15%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1986 |
AME
0 - 0
CSL
74%
15%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |